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tigerhonaker
10-07-2006, 09:48 PM
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Friday, October 06, 2006


Assessing
GM's
Fuel Cell
Strategy

The automaker plans to begin rolling out a test fleet of fuel-cell cars, but some experts say it's a mistake.

By Kevin Bullis

Last month, GM announced plans to distribute 100 fuel-cell-powered vehicles to customers next fall, along with plans to develop home-based hydrogen refueling stations. It's the automaker's latest move in its stated goal to build the world's largest fuel-cell vehicle fleet. The first 100 vehicles will be available for evaluation in California, New York, and Washington, DC.

But, from an environmental and technical standpoint, does it make sense?

Fuel-cell vehicles, which are being developed by other automakers as well, are powered by electricity generated from hydrogen. They emit only water vapor from their tailpipes, and the fuel cells are significantly more efficient than an internal-combustion engine in extracting energy from the fuel.

But GM's focus on creating a fleet of hydrogen fuel-cell vehicles could be a costly mistake as a strategy for combating global climate change and for decreasing U.S. dependence on oil, many energy experts say. The problem, these critics argue, is that powering electric vehicles with hydrogen fuel cells is both inefficient and expensive.

Hydrogen fuel must be extracted from fossil fuels or water--both energy-consuming processes. Once produced, the gas must be compressed or liquefied for distribution, and this process and the distribution itself take yet more energy. By the time the hydrogen has been delivered to the fuel cell for conversion to electricity, then, a significant amount of energy has been lost to these processes.

"Along the way, you've thrown away nearly three-quarters of the electricity. No one in their right mind would do that--if your alternative is to just string a power line from zero-carbon electricity and charge a battery onboard a car," says Joseph Romm, executive director of the Center for Energy and Climate Solutions, and formerly in charge of energy efficiency and renewable energy at the U.S. Department of Energy.

Romm says a more promising alternative to internal-combustion engines are plug-in hybrids, which combine an electric motor powered by batteries with a conventional gasoline- or diesel-powered engine, but rely on the electric motor far more than today's hybrids. Plug-in hybrids, which are being developed by Toyota, with conversion kits (http://www.technologyreview.com/read_article.aspx?id=16922&ch=energy) for ordinary hybrids already available through several companies, would not eliminate the use of gas, but they would cut down on it significantly. In one type of plug-in hybrid, electricity from the grid can provide enough power for an average commute, at a fraction of the cost of gasoline.

Charging a battery in a plug-in hybrid would be around three to four times more energy efficient than going through the intermediate steps required to make hydrogen fuel from water, using a process called electrolysis, according to Ulf Bossel, organizer of the European Fuel Cell Forum, which supports fuel cells for electrical utilities.

But GM argues that such hybrid cars are only an interim solution, not a long-term alternative to the internal-combustion engine. To replace the internal-combustion engine, says Jon Bereisa, director of GM's fuel-cell program, automakers will need to produce all-electric vehicles that feature "no compromises" with gasoline-powered vehicles, if enough people are going to buy them to make a difference. He says that battery packs for delivering the driving range people expect will be too big, complicated, and, most importantly, take too long to recharge to make them appealing. Fuel-cell vehicles, he says, "might not be the most efficient," but they can be refilled in a matter of minutes, and consumers won't have to give up cargo space.

Still, even advocates of fuel cells admit that the technology cannot yet compete with alternatives such as hybrids. "With hybrids, we can go on a smooth technology development path. We've already got hybrids that are in place," says James Sweeney, professor of management science and engineering at Stanford. "We can now move to plug-in hybrids. They're more costly right now, but you add maybe $5,000 to $10,000. You're not adding more than $100,000 to it," as would likely be the case with a fuel-cell vehicle, he says. "The bottom-line economics right now are so much more attractive than the hydrogen economics."

Sweeney thinks that if GM starts ramping up from its initial 100 fuel-cell-vehicle fleet, it will be a "terrible strategy," at least until fuel cells don't depend heavily on expensive precious metals such as platinum as catalysts, as they do now, and better ways of storing hydrogen fuel onboard are found. "If you only have 100 of them, and they're uneconomical, you can subsidize it. If you have a million of them, who's going to subsidize it?" he asks.

Sweeney notes that, in any case, it's likely that neither fuel-cell cars nor plug-in hybrids will mean a clean break from fossil fuels, since the cheapest hydrogen will come from reforming fossil fuels, and the electricity for increasing numbers of plug-in hybrids will likely be provided by cheap coal plants.

Others, such as former DOE official Romm, are even more critical of the fuel-cell option. He says money for research and development of fuel-cell vehicles and their related infrastructure is going to waste and the GM approach is "insane." He adds: "Hydrogen is the last thing you would do, only if everything else has failed."



http://www.technologyreview.com/read_article.aspx?id=17586&ch=energy&sc=&pg=1

TonyPSchaefer
10-08-2006, 11:26 PM
I believe it was the May, 2004 or 2005 issue of Scientific American spelled out all the current tracks for automobile fuel. They tracked what they called "well to wheel" and modified accordingly based on the fuel in question. After reading that article, it became clear to me that currently Hydrogen is not the best path to pursue. considering that 9% of our electricity is currently being generated by renewable sources and 51% generated by coal, it just doesn't seem to make sense to burn more coal.

Sledge
10-09-2006, 01:28 PM
There's a great flash presentation on Tesla Motors' website. BEVs are 3x more efficient well-to-wheel than H2FCV's. I'll take my EV in silver, please :)

xcel
10-19-2006, 05:32 AM
Hi Terry:

___Thanks for the great article. Just another nail in the Oil company backed scam known as the Hydrogen highway.

___I wish the best for GM but they have had to have spent far beyond a billion $’s by now with no profits to be had well into the foreseeable future with the technology as it currently plays out. The neat thing is GM has been so aginst EV’s and hybrids all these years yet their FCV’s have huge Li-Ion’s as power buffers because the PEM’s cannot output enough power on demand. Hmmm, not enough power on demand (very small ICE) with a Li-Ion to bring them back to std. acceleration rates? I wonder where I have heard of that design before ;)

___Good Luck

___Wayne

Chuck
10-19-2006, 09:49 AM
The sad thing about Mr Lutz making his spot that GM was going to leap frog the auto world on FCVs, is about a week later he says "we need more Hummers". :confused: Granted, 75% of Hummer sales are the H3 and on a good summer day could get 20mpg, let's get past the spin.

Since 1980, the average US vehicle has gotten about 22mpg (more or less). The H3 is not quite average in fuel consumption. Why is a 20mpg vehicle a better thing in 2006 than in 1980?

I'll admit to letting emotions overcome my reasoning at times when it comes to the Hummer, but if it were a fuel-mizer, would it still be a Hummer?

GM's marquee vehicle - The Hummer
Toyota's marquee vehicle - The Prius

Now show me an honest customer that thinks GM is greener



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