Archives




View Full Version : Crude Oil and diesel stable with gasoline up slightly


xcel
04-18-2009, 02:58 PM
http://www.cleanmpg.com/photos/data/2/AmericanFlag.jpg 19 year high in Crude supply is failing to bring down prices? (cleanmpg.com/forums/showthread.php?p=201860)

http://www.cleanmpg.com/photos/data/501/2_04_per_gallon.jpgWayne Gerdes – CleanMPG (cleanmpg.com) – April 18, 2009

Nationwide average price for a gallon of Regular Unleaded.

Crude Oil

NYMEX Crude Oil futures for May delivery closed at $50.33 per BBl on Friday, up $0.35 for the day and down $1.91 for the week.

Interestingly enough, the EIA reported that U.S. crude oil storage facilities were “running over with the stuff” with a supply surplus not seen in almost 19 years.

If that wasn’t enough, the US government, OPEC and the International Energy Agency all revised their future demand forecasts downward, saying the world would consume less oil in 2009 than expected.

The balance appeared to come from rumors that China is investing in (read purchasing heavily) Crude Oil and Energy related commodities vs. dollar denominated Treasury Securities.

With OPEC cutting back output slightly and the Industrialized Nations demand slackening a bit, the general outlook for Crude oil throughout the summer months is one of stable pricing around the $52.00 per BBl mark, unlike last year when Crude more than doubled to an all-time high of $140.00 per BBl.

Gasoline

According to the EIA, the national average price for gallon of regular unleaded gasoline increased slightly to $2.05 per gallon mid-week.

Gulf Coast residents live in the only region where gasoline is still averaging less than $2.00 with an average price of $1.96 with Californian’s taking home the honor of paying the most for their boutique CA-CBG fuel blend costing on average, $2.34 per gallon.

Through the summer driving season, Regular Unleaded is projected to average $2.23 per gallon, an increase of almost $0.20 from the current average yet still down significantly from last summer’s $3.81 per gallon average.

Diesel

Diesel fuel remained essentially unchanged over the past week with the nationwide average price of diesel costing $2.23 per gallon.

Regionally, the least expensive average price for diesel was found in the Midwest at $2.18 per gallon while the highest average price found in CA at $2.35 per gallon.

Diesel fuel prices are projected to average $2.27 this summer, down over $2.10 from last summer which should provide a significant improvement to the bottom line and relief to those heavily dependant on the trucking industry.

99LeCouch
04-18-2009, 05:11 PM
Funny how a year can change things.

Hopefully people will remember when fuel was double the cost, and buy a hybrid or more efficient car. Oh wait, no they won't.

ILAveo
04-18-2009, 05:34 PM
19 year high in Crude supply is failing to bring down prices? (cleanmpg.com/forums/showthread.php?p=201860)
....

I think about two things when I hear that. The world market effects US prices (see China comments in article) and that the retail fuel market is getting less competitive as stations close.

xcel
04-18-2009, 06:58 PM
Hi Rich:

___I have been watching the graph below all fall, winter and spring and if the Crude Oil market were like every other market with a supply/demand component, the price for a BBl of black gold would be less than $15.00 per right now :rolleyes:

http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/oog/info/twip/crstuss.gif

___Good Luck

___Wayne

ILAveo
04-18-2009, 07:11 PM
Does anybody have good world inventory numbers? The US is only something like 1/4 of the market. China and the US majors seem to be placing a bet that production is about to be cut and prices will rise.

worthywads
04-19-2009, 01:08 PM
Hi Rich:

___I have been watching the graph below all fall, winter and spring and if the Crude Oil market were like every other market with a supply/demand component, the price for a BBl of black gold would be less than $15.00 per right now :rolleyes:

http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/oog/info/twip/crstuss.gif

___Good Luck

___Wayne

I remember back in 2007 when the US crude oil stocks graph was below average the doomiest of the peak oilers were claiming it's finally here predicting we would never see above average again.:rolleyes:

It shouldn't be surprising to see ups and downs over time in any market.

vangonebuy
04-19-2009, 03:32 PM
The big difference between the first glut and today's glut is that the cartels (including Exxon, Chavez, Putin, OPEC) are not desperate to sell.. They don't need the money as badly as the last glut.
All current sellers benefit from highest prices and no one is willing to break out and dump.

They have slowly taken supply off the table and are working to maintain $70 a barrel as their goal. (not acheived yet)
So while they feel a bit full of oil. They aren't pressured.
Now, If we can reduce consumption another 10%, Things might change.


Keep up the pressure, MPG'ers.
________
Glass pipe pictures (http://glasspipes.net/)



Copyright 2006 Clean MPG, LLC. All Rights Reserved.