Archives




View Full Version : Global Oil Demand May Contract In 2009, 1st Time In 26 Years


xcel
11-06-2008, 07:05 AM
"North America has started on a multiyear journey toward higher fuel efficiency in transportation." (http://www.cattlenetwork.com/Content.asp?ContentID=266529)

http://www.cleanmpg.com/photos/data/501/Oil_Pump_at_twilight.jpgDow Jones – Nov. 5, 2008

Pump Jack at twilight.

Fortunately this will ease the supply concerns, place $’s back in consumers pocket and lower our trade deficit. If we do not blow it! -- Ed.

NEW YORK -- For years, rising global oil demand was as predictable as the seasons. Not anymore.

A starker economic outlook has some high-profile energy analysts predicting the world will consume less oil next year than this year, notching the first annual contraction since the early 1980s as emerging markets, led by China, cool off.

"We're in a new world now," said Kobi Platt, an economist with the Energy Information Administration, the analytical and statistical wing of the U.S. Department of Energy.

Demand in the most industrialized countries, static for years, tanked as oil soared to new heights this year. Even with U.S. gasoline now 42% cheaper than its July extremes above $4 a gallon, soft demand is expected to linger.

Against this backdrop, the world's oil-demand engine was supposed to be heavy industrial fuel needs and growing auto ownership in emerging markets, some of them enriched by oil exports. For the next several months, at least, that scenario is falling apart as the financial crisis bleeds across borders and challenges the theory that emerging markets have "decoupled" from highly developed ones. While expected to grow, emerging-economy demand may not offset declines elsewhere…

Shrinking demand could make it tougher for the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries to install a floor under oil prices that are now less than half of all-time highs above $145 a barrel. OPEC started to rein in supplies this fall, and could go further in a meeting Dec. 17… http://www.cattlenetwork.com/Content.asp?ContentID=266529

Thanks for the find Bob!

Indigo
11-06-2008, 07:15 AM
If the would-be SUV buyer would figure out how unpatriotic it is to but guzzler-hulks, we wouldn't even need CAFE reform. The free narket would drive SUV nakers out o business.

Oh... Wait... That's what's already happening!

Showbizk
11-06-2008, 08:16 AM
:flag:Hooray for free markets!!!!:flag:

Earthling
11-06-2008, 09:11 AM
Does anyone really think that oil will be cheap from now on? The world population continues to grow out of control, while proven oil reserves are increasing at a very limited rate.

When we get out of this recession, in one year or 3 years, or however long it takes, oil will go up again with increased demand, and we'll be in that cycle again. The only way the price of oil could stay down for a long time is if suddenly the population broke its trend, and started declining. That appears unlikely.

Harry

Parasite
11-06-2008, 10:09 AM
These type of news stories scare me. It seems as soon as they are published, things change and demand goes back up.

Massageguy
11-06-2008, 08:19 PM
We need to decouple the ability to use automobiles from the vagaries of petroleum prices. That is why I believe electric cars can are a better alternative because we can regulate our own electric industry. My only fear is that if there is no technology to actually produce a battery powerful enough for heavy duty vehicles like trucks then I wonder what we would do instead. Perhaps, biofuel, made from algae, or a natural gas powered heavy duty vehicles would be sufficient for the specialized heavy duty construction vehicle, etc.



Copyright 2006 Clean MPG, LLC. All Rights Reserved.